OGResearch News

Highlights of our expertise in structural modeling and macroeconomic forecasting

OGResearch Macro Portal Newsletter -- January 2025

 

January 8, 2025

Summary of our recent forecast updates: Moldova and Mozambique

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David Vavra presented his thoughts on monetary policy regimes at the conference of the National Bank of Georgia

 

December 13, 2024

OGR Managing Partner David Vavra participated in a two-day international conference titled "Shaping the Future of Monetary Policy", hosted by the National Bank of Georgia

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OGR consultants held a workshop for the Ministry of Economy of Ukraine

 

December 6, 2024

OGR consultants Anna Augusztin and Aron Iker conducted a training in Ukraine for the Ministry of Economy in the framework of the SECO Macroeconomic Policy and Management Project.

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OGResearch Macro Portal Newsletter -- December 2024

 

December 2, 2024

Summary of our recent forecast updates: Dominican Republic, Kyrgyz Republic

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OGR consultants held a workshop in Tajikistan as part of the Macroeconomic Planning and Management Project

 

November 12, 2024

OGR consultants Katalin Szilágyi and Áron Iker held a workshop for the Ministry of Finance, the Ministry of Economic Development and Trade, and the National Bank of Tajikistan as part of the Macroeconomic Planning and Management Project.

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OGResearch Macro Portal Newsletter -- November 2024

 

October 30, 2024

Summary of our recent forecast updates: Haiti, Mongolia, Sierra Leone

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OGR economists conducted a technical assistance mission for the Bank of Tanzania

 

October 22, 2024

Over the past two weeks, OGR economists Csaba Kober and Aron Iker led a technical assistance mission for the Bank of Tanzania as the second stage of a capacity-building initiative that began in May this year. The project was financed and organized by the Macroeconomic and Financial Management Institute of Eastern and Southern Africa (MEFMI).

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OGR economists presented their paper at the 3rd Public Debt Management Conference in Washington, DC

 

October 7, 2024

OGR Managing Partner David Vavra and OGR Economist Victoria Petrenko presented their paper, "Inflation-Linked Bonds Are Not a Good Instrument for Financing Government Debt in Emerging and Developing Economies: A View from Risk-Return Analysis," at the 3rd Public Debt Management Conference in Washington, DC.

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OGResearch Macro Portal Newsletter -- October 2024

 

October 1, 2024

Summary of our recent forecast updates: Ethiopia, Pakistan, Tajikistan

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OGResearch Macro Portal Newsletter -- September 2024

 

September 6, 2024

Summary of our recent forecast updates: Armenia, Madagascar, Kazakhstan

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OGR consultants held a workshop for the Ministry of Finance of Ethiopia

 

August 29, 2024

OGR consultants Anna Augusztin and Julius Danko held a workshop for the Ministry of Finance of Ethiopia in collaboration with UNICEF.

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OGResearch Macro Portal Newsletter -- August 2024

 

August 12, 2024

Summary of our recent forecast updates: Georgia, Guinea, Uzbekistan

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OGR supported TCX during its seminar in Guinea

 

July 25, 2024

OGR consultant Daniel Martinec participated in an FPAS dissemination trip, supporting TCX during its two-day seminar in Guinea, and presenting the forecasting and analytical framework of OGR.

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Join our team: we are hiring data operators at OGResearch

 

July 16, 2024

OGResearch is hiring data operators

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OGR consultants held a workshop for the Ministry of Economy and Finance of Uzbekistan

 

July 11, 2024

Cooperation continued between OGR and the economic bodies of Uzbekistan as OGR consultants Victoria Petrenko and Áron Iker held a workshop for the Ministry of Economy and Finance last week.

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OGR Managing Partner David Vavra discussed Ukraine's monetary and exchange rate policies in wartime in NV Ukraine

 

July 8, 2024

In an interview with The New Voice of Ukraine, OGR Managing Partner David Vavra evaluated the National Bank of Ukraine's monetary policies during the war, the implications of fixed exchange rates, and the future of currency liberalization.

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OGR supported the National Bank of Rwanda in a technical assistance mission

 

July 5, 2024

OGR Consultant Csaba Köber held a training session organized in cooperation with the Global Institute for Macroprudential Modeling (GIMM).

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Join our team: we are hiring analysts / model operators at OGResearch

 

July 3, 2024

OGResearch is hiring to its offices in Prague, Brno, Budapest or Belgrade

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Paper co-authored by OGR Partner David Vavra and OGR Senior Researcher Victoria Petrenko accepted at the Public Debt Management Conference

 

July 2, 2024

The paper "Inflation-linked bonds are not a good instrument for financing government debt in emerging and developing economies: a view from risk-return analysis," has been accepted for presentation at the 3rd Public Debt Management Conference held in Wahshington DC.

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OGResearch Macro Portal Newsletter -- July 2024

 

July 1, 2024

Summary of our recent forecast updates: Malawi, Tanzania

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OGR provided technical assistance to the Bank of Zambia

 

June 29, 2024

OGR consultant Csaba Köber supported the Bank of Zambia in enhancing their FPAS process in a cooperation with MEFMI

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David Vavra moderated a policy panel at the Annual Research Conference of the central banks of Ukraine and Poland

 

June 24, 2024

OGR Partner David Vavra moderated a policy panel at the 8th Annual Research Conference jointly organized by the National Bank of Ukraine and the Narodowy Bank Polski.

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Cooperation with the Central Bank of Uzbekistan continues

 

June 7, 2024

OGR continued its long history of cooperation with the Central Bank of Uzbekistan, focusing on liquidity management and monetary policy transmission, this time in the form of giving advice and hands-on training as well.

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OGResearch Macro Portal Newsletter -- June 2024

 

June 5, 2024

Summary of our recent forecast updates: Moldova, Ukraine

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OGR consultants provided technical assistance to the Central Bank of Uzbekistan

 

June 3, 2024

OGR consultants Tomas Motl and Jaromir Benes helped the Central Bank of Uzbekistan in developing scenarios for the Uzbek economy using a DSGE model tailored to Uzbekistan.The workshop was organized by the Swiss National Bank.

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OGResearch Macro Portal Newsletter -- May 2024

 

May 9, 2024

Summary of our recent forecast updates

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Migration patterns and the global growth outlook: people flow matter a lot

 

May 8, 2024

International migration is partly driven by relative incomes. This means it could still accelerate in coming decades, despite the political tensions it sometimes creates. Without net inward migration, working age populations in rich countries would shrink massively. Our analysis covers the relationship between migration and long-term growth.

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Middle income trap – it may exist but it may not matter too much

 

May 1, 2024

While the concept of a "middle income trap" suggests economic growth stalls at around 70% of US productivity, its existence may not significantly impact a country's long-term prosperity. Even if this trap holds true, other factors such as capital stock, employment, and technological advancement can compensate for productivity stagnation. Our analysis covers this topic in more depth.

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Long-Term Economic Outlook: Another Reversal of Fortune?

 

April 28, 2024

Our analysis examines the relative economic performance of key players such as China, India, the USA, and the EU. Highlighting the impact of demographics and productivity convergence, it provides insights into the future landscape of global economics and geopolitical competition.

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Sierra Leone’s Rutile Giant to Withdraw from All Mining Activities Following Government Dispute

 

April 24, 2024

A brief overview of the ongoing dispute in Sierra Leone's mining industry

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IMF as the Only Potential Savior of Tunisia's Fiscal Deficit

 

April 22, 2024

According to our analysis, Tunisia's challenging fiscal situation can only be resolved through significant adjustments and with the assistance of the IMF

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OGR Partners published their paper of the MacroEconomic Stress Scenario builder in the Czech Journal of Economics and Finance

 

April 19, 2024

The MacroEconomic Stress Scenario builder, a macroprudential modeling framework for practical application at policymaking institutions were developed by OGR Partners Jaromir Benes, Tomas Motl and David Vavra, now also published in the Czech Journal of Economics and Finance

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Papua New Guinea – The case of a misleading current account surplus

 

April 10, 2024

Our recent analysis of Papua New Guinea's external balance shows that the seemingly bright picture of the current account surplus is misleading

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David Vavra gave an interview to a main Georgian television channel

 

April 4, 2024

OGR Managing Partner David Vavra gave an interview to Rustavi 2, one of the most popular Georgian television channels

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OGResearch Macro Portal Newsletter -- April 2024

 

April 3, 2024

Summary of our recent forecast updates

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Invitation to the Local Currency Development in Frontier and Emerging Markets event organized by Bloomberg

 

March 17, 2024

OGResearch's Managing Partner David Vavra will be one of the speakers at the Local Currency Development in Frontier and Emerging Markets event, a discussion at Bloomberg’s European headquarters.

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Positive Spillovers: A Closer Look at Kyrgyzstan's External Balance amid the Russian war in Ukraine

 

March 6, 2024

The Russian war in Ukraine has reshaped the economic dynamics in the CIS region. Our analyis shows that despite initial concerns over its external balance and currency, Kyrgyzstan appears to benefit from trade relocation spurred by Western sanctions on Russia. Hidden external inflows and increased fiscal revenue from import surges suggest a more positive economic outlook than officially reported, though challenges in data accuracy persist.

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OGResearch Macro Portal Newsletter -- March 2024

 

March 4, 2024

Summary of our recent forecast updates

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Analysis of the capital stock's contribution to GDP across various countries

 

February 20, 2024

In our recent analysis we examine the capital stock's contribution to GDP across various countries, comparing it to Saudi Arabia within the growth accounting framework.

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OGResearch Macro Portal Newsletter -- February 2024

 

February 1, 2024

Summary of our recent forecast updates

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David Vavra appointed as Advisor to the Governor of the National Bank of Georgia

 

January 25, 2024

Recently, OGR's Managing Partner David Vavra has been appointed as Advisor to the Governor of the National Bank of Georgia

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David Vavra appointed as Advisor to the Governor of the National Bank of Ukraine

 

January 22, 2024

OGResearch's Managing Partner David Vavra has been appointed as Advisor to the Governor of the National Bank of Ukraine

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