Ethiopia
- Government has initiated a broad reform agenda to stabilize the macroeconomic situation
- After aligning official exchange rate with parallel market, depreciation will slow down supported by foreign inflows
- Inflation will remain high as the NBE lacks credibility and a clear mandate to engineer disinflation
Pakistan
- Growth will slow down amid ongoing fiscal consolidation
- High inflation expectations and a weak central bank mandate will keep inflation elevated over the next five years
- Steady depreciation will be necessary to maintain competitiveness
Tajikistan
- Growth will moderate in the next years as the positive factors from high remittance inflows dissipate
- Inflation will pick up quickly as the effect of the good regional harvest fades
- Mounting external balance pressure will result in a swift somoni weakening
Read the forecasts in details on our Macro Portal.
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Forecast updates in October:
- Haiti
- Mongolia
- Sierra Leone
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