OGResearch Macro Portal Newsletter -- September 2024

 

September 6, 2024

Armenia

  • Growth will be supported by temporary fiscal expansion and longer impact of the Russian invasion of Ukraine
  • Inflation will quickly accelerate towards the 4% target as disinflationary effect of strong currency fades
  • The dram will depreciate along dissipating effects of trade relocation and slowing Russian economy

Madagascar

  • Tourism rebound and agriculture performance will support growth in the next year
  • Inflation will accelerate with the planned adjustment of fuel and electricity prices
  • Persistently high inflation will results in a stable depreciation of the ariary

Kazakhstan

  • The economy will enjoy strong growth, supported by loose fiscal policy and expanding oil production
  • Strong demand and tariff increases will continue to exert pro-inflationary pressures
  • The tenge will experience further pressures along with the expected depreciation of the Russian ruble

Read the forecasts in details on our Macro Portal.

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Forecast updates in September:

  • Ethiopia
  • Pakistan
  • Tajikistan